Experts suggest Latin America may be "the next epicentre"

Published by Ross Hindle on May 25th 2020, 2:02pm

While quarantine is being lifted - or eased - country-by-country in places like Europe, Asia and North America, in the Southern Hemisphere, Covid-19 appears only to be getting started.

Brazil now has 300,000 confirmed cases, putting it in the top five worldwide for that measurement, and BBC Reality Check's Jake Horton says that "other countries in the region, including Mexico, Chile and Peru, are struggling to contain major outbreaks".

Every country in Latin America has now had confirmed cases of the virus, and although there are "far fewer cases and deaths" than in both Europe and the US, testing capabilities are considerably lower in the region, and there are concerns that deaths are being "under-reported".

Indeed, in Brazil, there are the second-highest number of worldwide confirmed "serious or critical" cases according to Worldometer. In this regard, they are still quite far behind the US (8,318 vs 17,907 on May 22), but their number of confirmed cases is drastically lower, suggesting that there may be more serious or critical cases per capita in Brazil.

Daily cases and deaths are also seeing a significant spike in many of these countries - namely Mexico, currently the fourth-highest for new cases, and top for new deaths with 420 reported over the May 21 alone. For comparison, only 172 new deaths were reported in the US in the same period.

The evidence seems to be pointing to a Covid-19 wave hitting Latin American countries while others ease up on quarantine measures. Just eight weeks ago, Europe was declared the "new epicentre" of the pandemic after it started to subside in East Asia. Now, this same cycle appears to be repeating itself as coronavirus moves further west.

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Ross Hindle
Content Director
May 25th 2020, 2:02pm

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